World Cup - Group stage - Group Stage

Czechia vs Mexico

25/06/2026 01:00 UTC Scheduled
Czechia Czechia Home
vs
Mexico Mexico Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid
Match preview

Czechia vs Mexico preview

Public data

Czechia vs Mexico is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-06-25 at 01:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
D L D D W
11 GF / 6 GA
Goal average
1.7 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.15
pre-match model estimate
Possession
46.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 6 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 74.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 2, previous seasons: 8).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W D L W
4 GF / 1 GA
Goal average
0.6 / 0.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
20.0% / 10.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.97
pre-match model estimate
Possession
57.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Unbeaten streak 3 Passing accuracy 83.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 2, previous seasons: 8).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Czechia
Metric/Average
Mexico
46.0%
Ball possession
57.0%
74.8%
Passing accuracy
83.0%
419.8
Total passes
470.6
4.8
Shots on target
5.2
13.6
Total shots
16.4
6.2
Shots off target
5.6
2.8
Blocked shots
5.6
7.0
Corners
4.4
16.4
Fouls
11.2
1.8
Offsides
1.8
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.4
Czechia
W / D / L%
W 60.0%
D 40.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.1
GA 0.8
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
Mexico
W / D / L%
W 44.0%
D 11.0%
L 44.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.0
GA 1.11
Over 2.5% 44.0%
BTTS% 44.0%
Insufficient data
Czechia
3 days ago WC
Czechia - South Africa 1-1 D
9 days ago WC
South Korea - Czechia 2-1 L
82 days ago WCQE
Czechia - Denmark 1-1 D
87 days ago WCQE
Czechia - Rep. Of Ireland 2-2 D
216 days ago WCQE
Czechia - Gibraltar 6-0 W
Mexico
2 days ago WC
Mexico - South Korea 1-0 W
10 days ago WC
Mexico - South Africa 2-0 W
720 days ago AMC
Mexico - Ecuador 0-0 D
724 days ago AMC
Venezuela - Mexico 1-0 L
728 days ago AMC
Mexico - Jamaica 1-0 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-21T09:03:22.072876+00:00
Czechia Czechia - Mexico Mexico
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.15
Away xG
0.97
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
39.6%
Draw
30.2%
Away
30.2%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
12.3%
Others
60.5%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
35.5%
Under 2.5
64.5%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
42.6%
BTTS: NO
57.4%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Czechia Czechia - Mexico Mexico

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Czechia Czechia - Mexico Mexico

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Czechia vs Mexico?

Czechia vs Mexico is scheduled for 2026-06-25 at 01:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Czechia vs Mexico?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model slightly favor Czechia?

The model gives Czechia a pre-match xG of 1.15, compared with 0.97 for Mexico. The edge is present, but limited.