World Cup - Group stage - Group Stage

Croatia vs Ghana

27/06/2026 21:00 UTC Scheduled
Croatia Croatia Home
vs
Ghana Ghana Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid
Match preview

Croatia vs Ghana preview

Public data

Croatia vs Ghana is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-06-27 at 21:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
L W W W D
11 GF / 7 GA
Goal average
2.8 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.01
pre-match model estimate
Possession
66.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 4 Passing accuracy 87.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W L D L D
3 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
0.9 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.51
pre-match model estimate
Possession
43.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 79.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Croatia
Metric/Average
Ghana
66.0%
Ball possession
43.4%
87.0%
Passing accuracy
79.8%
521.2
Total passes
337.8
5.6
Shots on target
2.8
17.0
Total shots
8.4
7.6
Shots off target
3.2
3.8
Blocked shots
2.4
8.0
Corners
3.2
10.4
Fouls
19.2
1.6
Offsides
2.0
3.0
Goalkeeper saves
3.2
Croatia
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 30.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.4
GA 0.7
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
Ghana
W / D / L%
W 10.0%
D 70.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.3
GA 1.5
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
Insufficient data
Croatia
4 days ago WC
England - Croatia 4-2 L
216 days ago WCQE
Montenegro - Croatia 2-3 W
219 days ago WCQE
Croatia - Faroe Islands 3-1 W
252 days ago WCQE
Croatia - Gibraltar 3-0 W
255 days ago WCQE
Czechia - Croatia 0-0 D
Ghana
4 days ago WC
Ghana - Panama 1-0 W
580 days ago CAFQ
Ghana - Niger 1-2 L
583 days ago CAFQ
Angola - Ghana 1-1 D
614 days ago CAFQ
Sudan - Ghana 2-0 L
619 days ago CAFQ
Ghana - Sudan 0-0 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-21T09:03:23.425530+00:00
Croatia Croatia - Ghana Ghana
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.01
Away xG
0.51
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
72.7%
Draw
19.1%
Away
8.2%

Top scoreline

2-0
16.3%
1-0
16.1%
3-0
10.9%
Others
56.6%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
34.7%
BTTS: NO
65.3%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Croatia Croatia - Ghana Ghana

Premium Outcome

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Croatia Croatia - Ghana Ghana

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Croatia vs Ghana?

Croatia vs Ghana is scheduled for 2026-06-27 at 21:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Croatia vs Ghana?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Croatia?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Croatia reaches 2.01 xG against Ghana's 0.51. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.