World Cup - Group stage - Group Stage

Uruguay vs Spain

27/06/2026 00:00 UTC Scheduled
Uruguay Uruguay Home
vs
Spain Spain Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Away Mid
Match preview

Uruguay vs Spain preview

Public data

Uruguay vs Spain is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-06-27 at 00:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
D D L D W
4 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
1.4 / 0.7
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
30.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.71
pre-match model estimate
Possession
53.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 78.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
D D W W W
12 GF / 2 GA
Goal average
3.0 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
80.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
60.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.44
pre-match model estimate
Possession
73.8%
last 5
Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 92.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Uruguay
Metric/Average
Spain
53.6%
Ball possession
73.8%
78.6%
Passing accuracy
92.2%
380.0
Total passes
766.2
4.6
Shots on target
8.2
14.8
Total shots
23.8
6.6
Shots off target
9.2
3.6
Blocked shots
6.4
6.6
Corners
8.8
14.4
Fouls
8.6
2.6
Offsides
2.0
2.6
Goalkeeper saves
1.8
Uruguay
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 60.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.2
GA 0.5
Over 2.5% 30.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Spain
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 30.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.7
GA 0.7
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
Insufficient data
Uruguay
6 days ago WC
Saudi Arabia - Uruguay 1-1 D
707 days ago AMC
Canada - Uruguay 2-2 D
710 days ago AMC
Uruguay - Colombia 0-1 L
714 days ago AMC
Uruguay - Brazil 0-0 D
719 days ago AMC
USA - Uruguay 0-1 W
Spain
6 days ago WC
Spain - Cape Verde Islands 0-0 D
215 days ago WCQE
Spain - Tรผrkiye 2-2 D
218 days ago WCQE
Georgia - Spain 0-4 W
250 days ago WCQE
Spain - Bulgaria 4-0 W
253 days ago WCQE
Spain - Georgia 2-0 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-21T09:03:23.104185+00:00
Uruguay Uruguay - Spain Spain
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
0.71
Away xG
1.44
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
18.3%
Draw
27.5%
Away
54.1%

Top scoreline

0-1
16.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
12.0%
Others
59.3%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
36.3%
Under 2.5
63.7%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
39.1%
BTTS: NO
60.9%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Uruguay Uruguay - Spain Spain

Premium Outcome

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Uruguay Uruguay - Spain Spain

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Uruguay vs Spain?

Uruguay vs Spain is scheduled for 2026-06-27 at 00:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Uruguay vs Spain?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Spain?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Spain reaches 1.44 xG against Uruguay's 0.71. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.