World Cup - Group stage - Group Stage

Tunisia vs Netherlands

25/06/2026 23:00 UTC Scheduled
Tunisia Tunisia Home
vs
Netherlands Netherlands Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Away High
Match preview

Tunisia vs Netherlands preview

Public data

Tunisia vs Netherlands is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-06-25 at 23:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
L L D D L
5 GF / 14 GA
Goal average
1.2 / 2.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
0.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.67
pre-match model estimate
Possession
53.2%
last 5
Passing accuracy 81.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 2, previous seasons: 8).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Netherlands
Team details
Form 5
W D W D W
16 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
3.4 / 0.7
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
3.0
pre-match model estimate
Possession
61.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 89.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 2, previous seasons: 8).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Tunisia
Metric/Average
Netherlands
53.2%
Ball possession
61.8%
81.8%
Passing accuracy
89.4%
431.2
Total passes
566.8
2.0
Shots on target
6.0
7.0
Total shots
13.0
3.8
Shots off target
4.4
1.2
Blocked shots
2.6
4.8
Corners
5.4
14.8
Fouls
9.6
2.4
Offsides
1.2
1.0
Goalkeeper saves
3.2
Tunisia
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 10.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.2
GA 0.9
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 20.0%
Netherlands
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 40.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.9
GA 0.9
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
Insufficient data
Tunisia
today WC
Tunisia - Japan 0-4 L
6 days ago WC
Sweden - Tunisia 5-1 L
169 days ago CAF
Mali - Tunisia 1-1 D
173 days ago CAF
Tanzania - Tunisia 1-1 D
176 days ago CAF
Nigeria - Tunisia 3-2 L
Netherlands
yesterday WC
Netherlands - Sweden 5-1 W
7 days ago WC
Netherlands - Japan 2-2 D
216 days ago WCQE
Netherlands - Lithuania 4-0 W
219 days ago WCQE
Poland - Netherlands 1-1 D
252 days ago WCQE
Netherlands - Finland 4-0 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-21T09:03:22.682200+00:00
Tunisia Tunisia - Netherlands Netherlands
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
0.67
Away xG
3.0
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
5.5%
Draw
11.5%
Away
83.1%

Top scoreline

0-3
11.9%
0-2
11.9%
0-4
8.9%
Others
67.3%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
70.0%
Under 2.5
30.0%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
46.4%
BTTS: NO
53.6%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Tunisia Tunisia - Netherlands Netherlands

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
This section is available to premium users only.
Log in
Tunisia Tunisia - Netherlands Netherlands

Community Outcome

Log in to view the community outcome.
Log in
FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Tunisia vs Netherlands?

Tunisia vs Netherlands is scheduled for 2026-06-25 at 23:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Tunisia vs Netherlands?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Netherlands?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Netherlands reaches 3.00 xG against Tunisia's 0.67. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.