World Cup - Group stage - Group Stage

Ecuador vs Germany

25/06/2026 20:00 UTC Scheduled
Ecuador Ecuador Home
vs
Germany Germany Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Away Mid
Match preview

Ecuador vs Germany preview

Public data

Ecuador vs Germany is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-06-25 at 20:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
D L D D W
4 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
0.9 / 1.1
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.84
pre-match model estimate
Possession
52.2%
last 5
Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 80.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 2, previous seasons: 8).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W W W W
18 GF / 2 GA
Goal average
2.6 / 0.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.19
pre-match model estimate
Possession
65.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 7 Unbeaten streak 7 Passing accuracy 88.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 2, previous seasons: 8).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Ecuador
Metric/Average
Germany
52.2%
Ball possession
65.6%
80.8%
Passing accuracy
88.4%
407.8
Total passes
640.4
5.0
Shots on target
7.6
16.4
Total shots
17.8
6.8
Shots off target
5.4
4.6
Blocked shots
4.8
5.6
Corners
6.6
10.8
Fouls
11.6
1.5
Offsides
0.5
2.6
Goalkeeper saves
1.6
Ecuador
W / D / L%
W 20.0%
D 50.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.5
GA 1.2
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Germany
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 40.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.6
GA 1.1
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Insufficient data
Ecuador
today WC
Ecuador - Curaรงao 0-0 D
7 days ago WC
Ivory Coast - Ecuador 1-0 L
716 days ago AMC
Argentina - Ecuador 1-1 D
720 days ago AMC
Mexico - Ecuador 0-0 D
724 days ago AMC
Ecuador - Jamaica 3-1 W
Germany
yesterday WC
Germany - Ivory Coast 2-1 W
7 days ago WC
Germany - Curaรงao 7-1 W
216 days ago WCQE
Germany - Slovakia 6-0 W
219 days ago WCQE
Luxembourg - Germany 0-2 W
251 days ago WCQE
Northern Ireland - Germany 0-1 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-21T09:03:22.195655+00:00
Ecuador Ecuador - Germany Germany
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
0.84
Away xG
1.19
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
25.6%
Draw
30.4%
Away
44.0%

Top scoreline

0-1
15.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
13.4%
Others
57.8%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
33.2%
Under 2.5
66.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
39.8%
BTTS: NO
60.2%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Ecuador Ecuador - Germany Germany

Premium Outcome

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Ecuador Ecuador - Germany Germany

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Ecuador vs Germany?

Ecuador vs Germany is scheduled for 2026-06-25 at 20:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Ecuador vs Germany?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Germany?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Germany reaches 1.19 xG against Ecuador's 0.84. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.