World Cup - Quarter

Norway vs England

11/07/2026 21:00 UTC Scheduled
Norway Norway Home
vs
England England Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Away High
Match preview

Norway vs England preview

Public data

Norway vs England is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-07-11 at 21:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W L W W
12 GF / 9 GA
Goal average
3.7 / 1.2
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
90.0% / 80.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.17
pre-match model estimate
Possession
53.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 86.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 5, previous seasons: 5).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W W D W
11 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
2.7 / 0.5
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
70.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.63
pre-match model estimate
Possession
58.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 87.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 5, previous seasons: 5).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Norway
Metric/Average
England
53.0%
Ball possession
58.4%
86.0%
Passing accuracy
87.8%
492.4
Total passes
484.4
5.0
Shots on target
6.4
10.6
Total shots
16.0
3.0
Shots off target
6.2
2.6
Blocked shots
3.4
4.4
Corners
6.2
9.6
Fouls
10.8
0.8
Offsides
1.2
3.0
Goalkeeper saves
1.8
Norway
W / D / L%
W 80.0%
D 0.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 3.7
GA 1.0
Over 2.5% 90.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
England
W / D / L%
W 90.0%
D 0.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.7
GA 0.5
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Insufficient data
Norway
yesterday WC
Brazil - Norway 1-2 W
6 days ago WC
Ivory Coast - Norway 1-2 W
10 days ago WC
Norway - France 1-4 L
13 days ago WC
Norway - Senegal 3-2 W
20 days ago WC
Iraq - Norway 1-4 W
England
today WC
Mexico - England 2-3 W
5 days ago WC
England - Congo DR 2-1 W
9 days ago WC
Panama - England 0-2 W
13 days ago WC
England - Ghana 0-0 D
19 days ago WC
England - Croatia 4-2 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-06T06:43:14.364529+00:00
Norway Norway - England England
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.17
Away xG
2.63
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
15.0%
Draw
17.3%
Away
67.8%

Top scoreline

1-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.9%
Others
74.8%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
72.6%
Under 2.5
27.4%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
64.1%
BTTS: NO
35.9%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Norway Norway - England England

Premium Outcome

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Norway Norway - England England

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Norway vs England?

Norway vs England is scheduled for 2026-07-11 at 21:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Norway vs England?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor England?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: England reaches 2.63 xG against Norway's 1.17. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.