World Cup - Round Of 16

Portugal vs Spain

06/07/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Portugal Portugal Home
vs
Spain Spain Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid
Match preview

Portugal vs Spain preview

Public data

Portugal vs Spain is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-07-06 at 19:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W D W D W
17 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
2.8 / 0.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.0
pre-match model estimate
Possession
64.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 5 Passing accuracy 91.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 4, previous seasons: 6).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W W D D
10 GF / 2 GA
Goal average
2.9 / 0.2
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 10.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
90.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.07
pre-match model estimate
Possession
69.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 91.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 4, previous seasons: 6).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Portugal
Metric/Average
Spain
64.6%
Ball possession
69.2%
91.0%
Passing accuracy
91.2%
619.2
Total passes
708.6
6.0
Shots on target
7.0
17.2
Total shots
19.8
7.0
Shots off target
8.2
4.2
Blocked shots
4.6
5.2
Corners
7.6
8.4
Fouls
9.4
2.2
Offsides
2.2
3.0
Goalkeeper saves
1.8
Portugal
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 30.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 3.2
GA 1.1
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
Spain
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 30.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.5
GA 0.6
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
2025-06-08
Portugal 2-2 Spain
2022-09-27
Portugal 0-1 Spain
2022-06-02
Spain 1-1 Portugal
2018-06-15
Portugal 3-3 Spain
Portugal
yesterday WC
Portugal - Croatia 2-1 W
6 days ago WC
Colombia - Portugal 0-0 D
10 days ago WC
Portugal - Uzbekistan 5-0 W
16 days ago WC
Portugal - Congo DR 1-1 D
229 days ago WCQE
Portugal - Armenia 9-1 W
Spain
yesterday WC
Spain - Austria 3-0 W
6 days ago WC
Uruguay - Spain 0-1 W
12 days ago WC
Spain - Saudi Arabia 4-0 W
18 days ago WC
Spain - Cape Verde Islands 0-0 D
227 days ago WCQE
Spain - Türkiye 2-2 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-03T09:05:22.336476+00:00
Portugal Portugal - Spain Spain
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.0
Away xG
1.07
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
32.8%
Draw
30.7%
Away
36.5%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
12.8%
Others
60.2%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
34.4%
Under 2.5
65.6%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
42.0%
BTTS: NO
58.0%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Portugal Portugal - Spain Spain

Premium Outcome

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Portugal Portugal - Spain Spain

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Portugal vs Spain?

Portugal vs Spain is scheduled for 2026-07-06 at 19:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Portugal vs Spain?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model see Portugal vs Spain as balanced?

The pre-match xG values are very close: Portugal 1.00 and Spain 1.07. This points to a low expected difference in attacking volume between the two teams.