World Cup - Round Of 16

Mexico vs England

06/07/2026 00:00 UTC Scheduled
Mexico Mexico Home
vs
England England Away
Confidence Overall ? High Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Away Low
Match preview

Mexico vs England preview

Public data

Mexico vs England is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-07-06 at 00:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W W W D
8 GF / 0 GA
Goal average
1.1 / 0.4
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
20.0% / 10.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
70.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.35
pre-match model estimate
Possession
50.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 4 Unbeaten streak 5 Passing accuracy 83.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 4, previous seasons: 6).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W D W W
10 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
2.5 / 0.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 20.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
80.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.19
pre-match model estimate
Possession
65.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 90.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 4, previous seasons: 6).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Mexico
Metric/Average
England
50.8%
Ball possession
65.6%
83.0%
Passing accuracy
90.2%
409.2
Total passes
573.4
4.0
Shots on target
6.8
14.0
Total shots
17.6
6.0
Shots off target
6.8
4.0
Blocked shots
4.0
2.4
Corners
6.8
11.8
Fouls
11.4
1.2
Offsides
1.6
1.8
Goalkeeper saves
1.8
Mexico
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 30.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 0.9
GA 1.1
Over 2.5% 20.0%
BTTS% 10.0%
England
W / D / L%
W 90.0%
D 0.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.6
GA 0.4
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Insufficient data
Mexico
yesterday WC
Mexico - Ecuador 2-0 W
7 days ago WC
Czechia - Mexico 0-3 W
13 days ago WC
Mexico - South Korea 1-0 W
21 days ago WC
Mexico - South Africa 2-0 W
731 days ago AMC
Mexico - Ecuador 0-0 D
England
yesterday WC
England - Congo DR 2-1 W
5 days ago WC
Panama - England 0-2 W
9 days ago WC
England - Ghana 0-0 D
15 days ago WC
England - Croatia 4-2 W
228 days ago WCQE
Albania - England 0-2 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-02T15:12:21.987626+00:00
Mexico Mexico - England England
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
0.35
Away xG
1.19
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
10.8%
Draw
31.7%
Away
57.5%

Top scoreline

0-1
25.3%
0-0
21.6%
0-2
15.1%
Others
38.0%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
20.2%
Under 2.5
79.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
20.8%
BTTS: NO
79.2%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O High
Confidence BTTS High
Confidence Scoreline High
Mexico Mexico - England England

Premium Outcome

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Mexico Mexico - England England

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Mexico vs England?

Mexico vs England is scheduled for 2026-07-06 at 00:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Mexico vs England?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor England?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: England reaches 1.19 xG against Mexico's 0.35. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.