World Cup - Round Of 32

Portugal vs Croatia

02/07/2026 23:00 UTC Scheduled
Portugal Portugal Home
vs
Croatia Croatia Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home High
Match preview

Portugal vs Croatia preview

Public data

Portugal vs Croatia is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-07-02 at 23:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
D W D W L
15 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
2.8 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.68
pre-match model estimate
Possession
67.8%
last 5
Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 91.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W L W W
11 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
2.4 / 0.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.85
pre-match model estimate
Possession
60.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 6 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 87.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Portugal
Metric/Average
Croatia
67.8%
Ball possession
60.6%
91.2%
Passing accuracy
87.8%
662.0
Total passes
522.0
6.4
Shots on target
4.4
19.6
Total shots
12.2
7.4
Shots off target
5.0
5.8
Blocked shots
2.8
5.2
Corners
4.2
8.4
Fouls
11.6
2.4
Offsides
1.0
2.2
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
Portugal
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 30.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 3.2
GA 1.1
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
Croatia
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 20.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.8
GA 1.4
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
2024-11-18
Croatia 1-1 Portugal
2024-09-05
Portugal 2-1 Croatia
2020-11-17
Croatia 2-3 Portugal
2020-09-05
Portugal 4-1 Croatia
2016-06-25
Croatia 0-0 Portugal
Portugal
yesterday WC
Colombia - Portugal 0-0 D
5 days ago WC
Portugal - Uzbekistan 5-0 W
11 days ago WC
Portugal - Congo DR 1-1 D
224 days ago WCQE
Portugal - Armenia 9-1 W
227 days ago WCQE
Rep. Of Ireland - Portugal 2-0 L
Croatia
yesterday WC
Croatia - Ghana 2-1 W
5 days ago WC
Panama - Croatia 0-1 W
11 days ago WC
England - Croatia 4-2 L
223 days ago WCQE
Montenegro - Croatia 2-3 W
226 days ago WCQE
Croatia - Faroe Islands 3-1 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-28T05:02:26.986854+00:00
Portugal Portugal - Croatia Croatia
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.68
Away xG
0.85
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
75.5%
Draw
15.1%
Away
9.4%

Top scoreline

2-0
10.8%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
Others
70.5%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
53.3%
BTTS: NO
46.7%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Portugal Portugal - Croatia Croatia

Premium Outcome

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Portugal Portugal - Croatia Croatia

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Portugal vs Croatia?

Portugal vs Croatia is scheduled for 2026-07-02 at 23:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Portugal vs Croatia?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Portugal?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Portugal reaches 2.68 xG against Croatia's 0.85. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.