World Cup - Round Of 32

France vs Sweden

30/06/2026 21:00 UTC Scheduled
France France Home
vs
Sweden Sweden Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home High
Match preview

France vs Sweden preview

Public data

France vs Sweden is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-06-30 at 21:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W W W W
17 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
2.8 / 0.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
80.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
3.29
pre-match model estimate
Possession
62.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 89.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
D L W W W
13 GF / 10 GA
Goal average
1.5 / 2.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
0.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.72
pre-match model estimate
Possession
42.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 7 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 78.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
France
Metric/Average
Sweden
62.2%
Ball possession
42.2%
89.2%
Passing accuracy
78.2%
612.6
Total passes
338.8
7.2
Shots on target
5.8
18.0
Total shots
11.8
6.0
Shots off target
3.4
4.8
Blocked shots
2.6
6.0
Corners
4.4
9.0
Fouls
11.6
0.8
Offsides
1.8
1.0
Goalkeeper saves
2.6
France
W / D / L%
W 80.0%
D 10.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.1
GA 0.5
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Sweden
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.6
GA 2.1
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
2020-11-17
France 4-2 Sweden
2020-09-05
Sweden 0-1 France
2017-06-09
Sweden 2-1 France
2016-11-11
France 2-1 Sweden
France
yesterday WC
Norway - France 1-4 W
5 days ago WC
France - Iraq 3-0 W
11 days ago WC
France - Senegal 3-1 W
223 days ago WCQE
Azerbaijan - France 1-3 W
226 days ago WCQE
France - Ukraine 4-0 W
Sweden
2 days ago WC
Japan - Sweden 1-1 D
7 days ago WC
Netherlands - Sweden 5-1 L
12 days ago WC
Sweden - Tunisia 5-1 W
88 days ago WCQE
Sweden - Poland 3-2 W
93 days ago WCQE
Ukraine - Sweden 1-3 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-27T10:14:26.193507+00:00
France France - Sweden Sweden
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
3.29
Away xG
0.72
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
84.8%
Draw
10.2%
Away
5.0%

Top scoreline

3-0
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
4-0
9.3%
Others
69.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
75.0%
Under 2.5
25.0%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
49.5%
BTTS: NO
50.5%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O High
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
France France - Sweden Sweden

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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France France - Sweden Sweden

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is France vs Sweden?

France vs Sweden is scheduled for 2026-06-30 at 21:00 UTC.

Which competition includes France vs Sweden?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor France?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: France reaches 3.29 xG against Sweden's 0.72. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.