World Cup - Round Of 16

USA vs Belgium

07/07/2026 00:00 UTC Scheduled
USA USA Home
vs
Belgium Belgium Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Away Mid
Match preview

USA vs Belgium preview

Public data

USA vs Belgium is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-07-07 at 00:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W L W W L
10 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
1.5 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.93
pre-match model estimate
Possession
55.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 4 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 82.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 4, previous seasons: 6).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
D W D D W
15 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
3.2 / 0.7
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.78
pre-match model estimate
Possession
62.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 87.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 4, previous seasons: 6).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
USA
Metric/Average
Belgium
55.4%
Ball possession
62.6%
82.4%
Passing accuracy
87.6%
462.0
Total passes
598.8
4.0
Shots on target
7.6
12.0
Total shots
22.6
4.0
Shots off target
8.4
4.0
Blocked shots
6.6
5.0
Corners
6.6
11.4
Fouls
12.0
2.2
Offsides
1.4
2.2
Goalkeeper saves
2.0
USA
W / D / L%
W 60.0%
D 10.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.4
GA 0.9
Over 2.5% 30.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Belgium
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.0
GA 1.4
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
2014-07-01
Belgium 0-0 USA
USA
today WC
USA - Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 W
6 days ago WC
Türkiye - USA 3-2 L
13 days ago WC
USA - Australia 2-0 W
19 days ago WC
USA - Paraguay 4-1 W
730 days ago AMC
USA - Uruguay 0-1 L
Belgium
yesterday WC
Belgium - Senegal 2-2 D
5 days ago WC
New Zealand - Belgium 1-5 W
11 days ago WC
Belgium - Iran 0-0 D
17 days ago WC
Belgium - Egypt 1-1 D
226 days ago WCQE
Belgium - Liechtenstein 7-0 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-02T15:12:22.106377+00:00
USA USA - Belgium Belgium
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
0.93
Away xG
1.78
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
19.3%
Draw
23.7%
Away
57.0%

Top scoreline

0-1
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.6%
Others
66.5%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
50.5%
BTTS: NO
49.5%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
USA USA - Belgium Belgium

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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USA USA - Belgium Belgium

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is USA vs Belgium?

USA vs Belgium is scheduled for 2026-07-07 at 00:00 UTC.

Which competition includes USA vs Belgium?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Belgium?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Belgium reaches 1.78 xG against USA's 0.93. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.