World Cup - Quarter

France vs Morocco

09/07/2026 20:00 UTC Scheduled
France France Home
vs
Morocco Morocco Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Home Low
Match preview

France vs Morocco preview

Public data

France vs Morocco is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-07-09 at 20:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W W W W
14 GF / 2 GA
Goal average
2.8 / 0.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
90.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.11
pre-match model estimate
Possession
60.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 88.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 5, previous seasons: 5).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W D W W D
10 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
1.6 / 0.4
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
30.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
70.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.69
pre-match model estimate
Possession
59.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 5 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 87.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 5, previous seasons: 5).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
France
Metric/Average
Morocco
60.6%
Ball possession
59.8%
88.4%
Passing accuracy
87.6%
570.8
Total passes
598.8
7.8
Shots on target
4.8
17.6
Total shots
12.4
6.4
Shots off target
4.2
3.4
Blocked shots
3.4
7.2
Corners
4.6
9.8
Fouls
12.2
1.8
Offsides
1.8
1.8
Goalkeeper saves
1.6
France
W / D / L%
W 80.0%
D 10.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.3
GA 0.5
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Morocco
W / D / L%
W 60.0%
D 40.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.0
GA 0.3
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
2022-12-14
France 2-0 Morocco
France
2 days ago WC
Paraguay - France 0-1 W
6 days ago WC
France - Sweden 3-0 W
10 days ago WC
Norway - France 1-4 W
14 days ago WC
France - Iraq 3-0 W
20 days ago WC
France - Senegal 3-1 W
Morocco
2 days ago WC
Canada - Morocco 0-3 W
6 days ago WC
Netherlands - Morocco 1-1 D
12 days ago WC
Morocco - Haiti 4-2 W
17 days ago WC
Scotland - Morocco 0-1 W
23 days ago WC
Brazil - Morocco 1-1 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-06T05:41:16.630110+00:00
France France - Morocco Morocco
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.11
Away xG
0.69
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
45.4%
Draw
32.3%
Away
22.3%

Top scoreline

1-0
18.2%
0-0
16.8%
1-1
12.9%
Others
52.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
26.9%
Under 2.5
73.1%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
33.6%
BTTS: NO
66.4%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Medium
France France - Morocco Morocco

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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France France - Morocco Morocco

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is France vs Morocco?

France vs Morocco is scheduled for 2026-07-09 at 20:00 UTC.

Which competition includes France vs Morocco?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor France?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: France reaches 1.11 xG against Morocco's 0.69. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.