World Cup - Quarter

Spain vs Belgium

10/07/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Spain Spain Home
vs
Belgium Belgium Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Home Mid
Match preview

Spain vs Belgium preview

Public data

Spain vs Belgium is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-07-10 at 19:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W W W D
9 GF / 0 GA
Goal average
2.7 / 0.2
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 10.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
90.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.56
pre-match model estimate
Possession
65.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 4 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 90.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 5, previous seasons: 5).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W D W D D
12 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
3.0 / 0.8
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.15
pre-match model estimate
Possession
55.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 85.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 5, previous seasons: 5).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Spain
Metric/Average
Belgium
65.6%
Ball possession
55.2%
90.4%
Passing accuracy
85.4%
661.6
Total passes
537.2
6.4
Shots on target
6.2
18.6
Total shots
20.8
8.0
Shots off target
8.2
4.2
Blocked shots
6.4
7.8
Corners
4.6
11.0
Fouls
12.0
1.8
Offsides
1.4
1.2
Goalkeeper saves
2.0
Spain
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 30.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.8
GA 1.0
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
Belgium
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.4
GA 1.4
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Insufficient data
Spain
yesterday WC
Portugal - Spain 0-1 W
5 days ago WC
Spain - Austria 3-0 W
10 days ago WC
Uruguay - Spain 0-1 W
16 days ago WC
Spain - Saudi Arabia 4-0 W
22 days ago WC
Spain - Cape Verde Islands 0-0 D
Belgium
today WC
USA - Belgium 1-4 W
6 days ago WC
Belgium - Senegal 2-2 D
10 days ago WC
New Zealand - Belgium 1-5 W
16 days ago WC
Belgium - Iran 0-0 D
22 days ago WC
Belgium - Egypt 1-1 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-07T03:55:30.535384+00:00
Spain Spain - Belgium Belgium
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.56
Away xG
1.15
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
46.6%
Draw
25.6%
Away
27.8%

Top scoreline

1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
Others
68.3%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
50.8%
Under 2.5
49.2%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
54.2%
BTTS: NO
45.8%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Spain Spain - Belgium Belgium

Premium Outcome

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Spain Spain - Belgium Belgium

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Spain vs Belgium?

Spain vs Belgium is scheduled for 2026-07-10 at 19:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Spain vs Belgium?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Spain?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Spain reaches 1.56 xG against Belgium's 1.15. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.