UEFA Champions League - 1St Qualifying Round

Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty

15/07/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Sutjeska Sutjeska Home
vs
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Away Mid
Match preview

Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty preview

Public data

Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty is a UEFA Champions League match scheduled for 2026-07-15 at 19:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
L L L W L
7 GF / 11 GA
Goal average
1.1 / 1.5
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.96
pre-match model estimate
Scoring streak 5
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Kairat Almaty
Team details
Form 5
W L L L L
7 GF / 12 GA
Goal average
0.9 / 2.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.34
pre-match model estimate
Possession
41.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 74.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Sutjeska
Metric/Average
Kairat Almaty
-
Ball possession
41.6%
-
Passing accuracy
74.2%
-
Total passes
393.2
5.0
Shots on target
2.4
8.0
Total shots
7.4
3.0
Shots off target
3.2
-
Blocked shots
1.8
5.0
Corners
1.0
17.0
Fouls
11.4
5.0
Offsides
0.2
1.0
Goalkeeper saves
5.8
Sutjeska
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 20.0%
L 50.0%
GF / GA match
GF 0.7
GA 0.8
Over 2.5% 30.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Kairat Almaty
W / D / L%
W 0.0%
D 30.0%
L 70.0%
GF / GA match
GF 0.7
GA 1.7
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
2026-07-08
Kairat Almaty 2-1 Sutjeska
Sutjeska
today CL
Kairat Almaty - Sutjeska 2-1 L
342 days ago ECL
Beitar Jerusalem - Sutjeska 5-2 L
349 days ago ECL
Sutjeska - Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 L
356 days ago ECL
Dinamo Brest - Sutjeska 0-2 W
363 days ago ECL
Sutjeska - Dinamo Brest 1-2 L
Kairat Almaty
today CL
Kairat Almaty - Sutjeska 2-1 W
161 days ago CL
Arsenal - Kairat Almaty 3-2 L
169 days ago CL
Kairat Almaty - Club Brugge KV 1-4 L
211 days ago CL
Kairat Almaty - Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 L
224 days ago CL
FC Copenhagen - Kairat Almaty 3-2 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-08T21:32:24.107430+00:00
Sutjeska Sutjeska - Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
0.96
Away xG
1.34
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
26.5%
Draw
28.3%
Away
45.2%

Top scoreline

0-1
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.4%
Others
63.2%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
45.6%
BTTS: NO
54.4%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Sutjeska Sutjeska - Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
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Sutjeska Sutjeska - Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?

Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty is scheduled for 2026-07-15 at 19:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?

The match is part of UEFA Champions League.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Kairat Almaty?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Kairat Almaty reaches 1.34 xG against Sutjeska's 0.96. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.