UEFA Champions League - 1St Qualifying Round

KuPS vs Vardar Skopje

14/07/2026 15:00 UTC Scheduled
KuPS KuPS Home
vs
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid
Match preview

KuPS vs Vardar Skopje preview

Public data

KuPS vs Vardar Skopje is a UEFA Champions League match scheduled for 2026-07-14 at 15:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
L L D D L
2 GF / 6 GA
Goal average
0.6 / 1.4
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
30.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.82
pre-match model estimate
Possession
46.8%
last 5
Passing accuracy 81.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Vardar Skopje
Team details
Form 5
L W D W L
7 GF / 10 GA
Goal average
0.9 / 2.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
10.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.84
pre-match model estimate
Possession
46.0%
last 5
Passing accuracy 74.3%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
KuPS
Metric/Average
Vardar Skopje
46.8%
Ball possession
46.0%
81.0%
Passing accuracy
74.3%
456.2
Total passes
373.0
0.8
Shots on target
4.7
6.6
Total shots
11.7
3.8
Shots off target
4.0
2.0
Blocked shots
3.0
2.4
Corners
4.7
10.2
Fouls
10.7
1.2
Offsides
2.7
5.6
Goalkeeper saves
2.3
KuPS
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 20.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.3
GA 0.7
Over 2.5% 20.0%
BTTS% 20.0%
Vardar Skopje
W / D / L%
W 10.0%
D 20.0%
L 70.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.0
GA 2.5
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Insufficient data
KuPS
131 days ago ECL
Lech Poznan - KuPS 1-0 L
138 days ago ECL
KuPS - Lech Poznan 0-2 L
201 days ago ECL
Crystal Palace - KuPS 2-2 D
208 days ago ECL
KuPS - Lausanne 0-0 D
222 days ago ECL
Jagiellonia - KuPS 1-0 L
Vardar Skopje
341 days ago ECL
Lausanne - Vardar Skopje 5-0 L
348 days ago ECL
Vardar Skopje - Lausanne 2-1 W
355 days ago ECL
La Fiorita - Vardar Skopje 2-2 D
362 days ago ECL
Vardar Skopje - La Fiorita 3-0 W
2910 days ago EL
Vardar Skopje - Pyunik Yerevan 0-2 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-05T15:00:23.525299+00:00
KuPS KuPS - Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.82
Away xG
0.84
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
60.2%
Draw
23.1%
Away
16.7%

Top scoreline

1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
Others
64.8%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
49.4%
Under 2.5
50.6%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
47.7%
BTTS: NO
52.3%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
KuPS KuPS - Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
This section is available to premium users only.
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KuPS KuPS - Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje

Community Outcome

Log in to view the community outcome.
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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is KuPS vs Vardar Skopje?

KuPS vs Vardar Skopje is scheduled for 2026-07-14 at 15:00 UTC.

Which competition includes KuPS vs Vardar Skopje?

The match is part of UEFA Champions League.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor KuPS?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: KuPS reaches 1.82 xG against Vardar Skopje's 0.84. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.