UEFA Champions League - 1St Qualifying Round

Riga vs Ararat-Armenia

14/07/2026 17:00 UTC Scheduled
Riga Riga Home
vs
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid
Match preview

Riga vs Ararat-Armenia preview

Public data

Riga vs Ararat-Armenia is a UEFA Champions League match scheduled for 2026-07-14 at 17:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W L L W D
8 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
1.2 / 1.7
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.82
pre-match model estimate
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 1
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Ararat-Armenia
Team details
Form 5
L L D D D
6 GF / 10 GA
Goal average
1.3 / 1.4
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.51
pre-match model estimate
Possession
55.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Passing accuracy 81.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Riga
Metric/Average
Ararat-Armenia
-
Ball possession
55.0%
-
Passing accuracy
81.0%
-
Total passes
461.0
-
Shots on target
5.0
-
Total shots
16.0
-
Shots off target
5.0
-
Blocked shots
6.0
-
Corners
5.0
-
Fouls
11.0
-
Offsides
2.0
-
Goalkeeper saves
2.0
Riga
W / D / L%
W 80.0%
D 10.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.6
GA 0.7
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
Ararat-Armenia
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 40.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.5
GA 1.4
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
Insufficient data
Riga
314 days ago ECL
Riga - Sparta Praha 1-0 W
320 days ago ECL
Sparta Praha - Riga 2-0 L
327 days ago ECL
Beitar Jerusalem - Riga 3-1 L
334 days ago ECL
Riga - Beitar Jerusalem 3-0 W
341 days ago ECL
Dila - Riga 3-3 D
Ararat-Armenia
327 days ago ECL
Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Praha 1-2 L
334 days ago ECL
Sparta Praha - Ararat-Armenia 4-1 L
341 days ago ECL
Universitatea Cluj - Ararat-Armenia 1-1 D
348 days ago ECL
Ararat-Armenia - Universitatea Cluj 0-0 D
691 days ago ECL
Puskas Academy - Ararat-Armenia 3-3 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-07-05T17:00:15.153331+00:00
Riga Riga - Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.82
Away xG
0.51
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
68.9%
Draw
21.5%
Away
9.6%

Top scoreline

1-0
17.5%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
9.9%
Others
56.4%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
33.8%
BTTS: NO
66.2%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Riga Riga - Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
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Riga Riga - Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Riga vs Ararat-Armenia?

Riga vs Ararat-Armenia is scheduled for 2026-07-14 at 17:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Riga vs Ararat-Armenia?

The match is part of UEFA Champions League.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Riga?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Riga reaches 1.82 xG against Ararat-Armenia's 0.51. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.