Premier League - Regular season

Brighton vs Manchester United

24/05/2026 15:00 UTC Scheduled
Brighton Brighton Home
vs
Manchester United Manchester United Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
L W L W D
9 GF / 6 GA
Goal average
1.6 / 0.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.33
pre-match model estimate
Possession
63.4%
last 5
Passing accuracy 85.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Manchester United
Team details
Form 5
W D W W W
9 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
1.8 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
80.0% / 80.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.99
pre-match model estimate
Possession
44.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 5 Passing accuracy 82.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Brighton
Metric/Average
Manchester United
63.4%
Ball possession
44.0%
85.0%
Passing accuracy
82.8%
521.4
Total passes
424.6
6.0
Shots on target
4.4
14.2
Total shots
14.6
5.0
Shots off target
5.2
3.2
Blocked shots
5.0
7.2
Corners
5.0
11.4
Fouls
10.8
0.8
Offsides
0.8
2.0
Goalkeeper saves
3.4
Brighton
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 30.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.4
GA 0.6
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
Manchester United
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 50.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.3
GA 1.2
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
2026-01-11
Manchester United 1-2 Brighton
2025-10-25
Manchester United 4-2 Brighton
2025-01-19
Manchester United 1-3 Brighton
2024-08-24
Brighton 2-1 Manchester United
2024-05-19
Brighton 0-2 Manchester United
Brighton
18 days ago PL
Leeds - Brighton 1-0 L
26 days ago PL
Brighton - Wolves 3-0 W
33 days ago PL
Newcastle - Brighton 3-1 L
44 days ago PL
Brighton - Chelsea 3-0 W
47 days ago PL
Tottenham - Brighton 2-2 D
Manchester United
18 days ago PL
Manchester United - Nottingham Forest 3-2 W
26 days ago PL
Sunderland - Manchester United 0-0 D
32 days ago PL
Manchester United - Liverpool 3-2 W
38 days ago PL
Manchester United - Brentford 2-1 W
47 days ago PL
Chelsea - Manchester United 0-1 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-24T14:59:42.442297+00:00
Brighton Brighton - Manchester United Manchester United
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.33
Away xG
0.99
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
44.4%
Draw
28.2%
Away
27.4%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.3%
Others
64.2%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
41.4%
Under 2.5
58.6%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
46.8%
BTTS: NO
53.2%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Brighton Brighton - Manchester United Manchester United

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Brighton Brighton - Manchester United Manchester United

Community Outcome

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