Premier League - Regular season

Manchester City vs Aston Villa

24/05/2026 15:00 UTC Scheduled
Manchester City Manchester City Home
vs
Aston Villa Aston Villa Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Manchester City
Team details
Form 5
D W W W D
11 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
2.3 / 0.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
60.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.13
pre-match model estimate
Possession
63.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 87.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 7, previous seasons: 3).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Aston Villa
Team details
Form 5
W W D W L
14 GF / 6 GA
Goal average
2.3 / 1.2
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.82
pre-match model estimate
Possession
51.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 5 Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 84.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 6, previous seasons: 4).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Manchester City
Metric/Average
Aston Villa
63.4%
Ball possession
51.2%
87.8%
Passing accuracy
84.4%
582.4
Total passes
398.8
5.4
Shots on target
6.6
16.8
Total shots
14.4
5.8
Shots off target
3.6
5.6
Blocked shots
4.2
7.6
Corners
6.2
8.6
Fouls
12.0
1.0
Offsides
1.6
1.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
Manchester City
W / D / L%
W 80.0%
D 10.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.4
GA 0.7
Over 2.5% 90.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
Aston Villa
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.2
GA 1.2
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
2025-10-26
Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City
2025-04-22
Manchester City 2-1 Aston Villa
2024-12-21
Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City
2024-04-03
Manchester City 4-1 Aston Villa
2023-12-06
Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City
Manchester City
16 days ago PL
Bournemouth - Manchester City 1-1 D
19 days ago FAC
Chelsea - Manchester City 0-1 W
22 days ago PL
Manchester City - Crystal Palace 3-0 W
26 days ago PL
Manchester City - Brentford 3-0 W
31 days ago PL
Everton - Manchester City 3-3 D
Aston Villa
15 days ago EL
SC Freiburg - Aston Villa 0-3 W
20 days ago PL
Aston Villa - Liverpool 4-2 W
25 days ago PL
Burnley - Aston Villa 2-2 D
28 days ago EL
Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 4-0 W
32 days ago PL
Aston Villa - Tottenham 1-2 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-24T14:59:42.693880+00:00
Manchester City Manchester City - Aston Villa Aston Villa
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.13
Away xG
0.82
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
67.7%
Draw
19.5%
Away
12.7%

Top scoreline

2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
10.0%
Others
67.2%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
49.5%
BTTS: NO
50.5%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Manchester City Manchester City - Aston Villa Aston Villa

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Manchester City Manchester City - Aston Villa Aston Villa

Community Outcome

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