HNL - Regular season

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

23/05/2026 14:00 UTC Scheduled
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka Home
vs
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
HNK Rijeka
Team details
Form 5
D W W D L
6 GF / 1 GA
Goal average
1.1 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 20.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.77
pre-match model estimate
Possession
56.2%
last 5
Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 82.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 9, previous seasons: 1).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
HNK Gorica
Team details
Form 5
W L L W W
6 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
1.1 / 0.8
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
30.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.75
pre-match model estimate
Possession
47.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 81.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
HNK Rijeka
Metric/Average
HNK Gorica
56.2%
Ball possession
47.6%
82.6%
Passing accuracy
81.0%
400.4
Total passes
375.8
4.8
Shots on target
4.6
12.6
Total shots
10.0
5.4
Shots off target
3.4
2.4
Blocked shots
2.0
8.0
Corners
5.4
12.8
Fouls
9.6
2.8
Offsides
2.0
0.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.6
HNK Rijeka
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.4
GA 1.0
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
HNK Gorica
W / D / L%
W 20.0%
D 30.0%
L 50.0%
GF / GA match
GF 0.8
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 30.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
2026-03-22
HNK Gorica 4-0 HNK Rijeka
2025-12-21
HNK Rijeka 1-0 HNK Gorica
2025-10-05
HNK Gorica 1-3 HNK Rijeka
2025-05-04
HNK Rijeka 2-1 HNK Gorica
2025-03-01
HNK Gorica 0-0 HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
18 days ago CRO
Istra 1961 - HNK Rijeka 0-0 D
27 days ago CRO
HNK Rijeka - Vukovar 3-0 W
32 days ago CRO
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - HNK Rijeka 0-3 W
39 days ago CRO
HNK Rijeka - HNK Hajduk Split 0-0 D
43 days ago CRO
NK Varazdin - HNK Rijeka 1-0 L
HNK Gorica
19 days ago CRO
HNK Gorica - NK Osijek 2-0 W
25 days ago CRO
NK Slaven Belupo - HNK Gorica 1-0 L
33 days ago CRO
HNK Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 L
38 days ago CRO
HNK Gorica - Istra 1961 1-0 W
43 days ago CRO
Vukovar - HNK Gorica 1-2 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-23T13:59:32.490264+00:00
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka - HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.77
Away xG
0.75
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
58.6%
Draw
26.6%
Away
14.8%

Top scoreline

1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.0%
Others
62.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
55.2%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
45.0%
BTTS: NO
55.0%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Medium
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka - HNK Gorica HNK Gorica

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka - HNK Gorica HNK Gorica

Community Outcome

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