Serie A - Regular season

Fiorentina vs Atalanta

22/05/2026 18:45 UTC Scheduled
Fiorentina Fiorentina Home
vs
Atalanta Atalanta Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Fiorentina
Team details
Form 5
W D L D D
3 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
0.8 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
30.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.3
pre-match model estimate
Possession
46.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 81.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 8, previous seasons: 2).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
L W D L D
6 GF / 7 GA
Goal average
1.2 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.54
pre-match model estimate
Possession
57.2%
last 5
Passing accuracy 84.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 8, previous seasons: 2).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Fiorentina
Metric/Average
Atalanta
46.2%
Ball possession
57.2%
81.6%
Passing accuracy
84.6%
377.4
Total passes
570.0
2.8
Shots on target
5.0
10.8
Total shots
16.2
5.4
Shots off target
5.4
2.6
Blocked shots
5.8
3.8
Corners
4.6
12.0
Fouls
15.4
0.8
Offsides
2.2
3.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.0
Fiorentina
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 50.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 0.9
GA 0.8
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
Atalanta
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.6
GA 1.7
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
2025-11-30
Atalanta 2-0 Fiorentina
2025-03-30
Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
2024-09-15
Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
2024-06-02
Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina
2024-04-24
Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina
18 days ago SA
Juventus - Fiorentina 0-2 W
25 days ago SA
Fiorentina - Genoa 0-0 D
31 days ago SA
AS Roma - Fiorentina 4-0 L
39 days ago SA
Fiorentina - Sassuolo 0-0 D
45 days ago SA
Lecce - Fiorentina 1-1 D
Atalanta
18 days ago SA
Atalanta - Bologna 0-1 L
25 days ago SA
AC Milan - Atalanta 2-3 W
33 days ago SA
Atalanta - Genoa 0-0 D
38 days ago SA
Cagliari - Atalanta 3-2 L
43 days ago CIT
Atalanta - Lazio 1-1 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-22T18:44:50.729522+00:00
Fiorentina Fiorentina - Atalanta Atalanta
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.3
Away xG
1.54
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
30.6%
Draw
27.9%
Away
41.4%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
Others
70.0%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
58.4%
BTTS: NO
41.6%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Fiorentina Fiorentina - Atalanta Atalanta

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Fiorentina Fiorentina - Atalanta Atalanta

Community Outcome

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