Serie A - Regular season

AC Milan vs Cagliari

24/05/2026 18:45 UTC Scheduled
AC Milan AC Milan Home
vs
Cagliari Cagliari Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W L L D W
5 GF / 6 GA
Goal average
0.9 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.69
pre-match model estimate
Possession
47.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 84.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W L D W L
5 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
0.9 / 1.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.77
pre-match model estimate
Possession
43.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 78.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
AC Milan
Metric/Average
Cagliari
47.8%
Ball possession
43.0%
84.4%
Passing accuracy
78.6%
433.0
Total passes
381.4
3.8
Shots on target
3.2
9.6
Total shots
12.4
4.0
Shots off target
5.4
1.8
Blocked shots
3.8
2.2
Corners
5.6
12.2
Fouls
8.8
1.0
Offsides
2.2
2.4
Goalkeeper saves
3.2
AC Milan
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.2
GA 1.1
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
Cagliari
W / D / L%
W 20.0%
D 30.0%
L 50.0%
GF / GA match
GF 0.9
GA 1.8
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
2026-01-02
Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan
2025-01-11
AC Milan 1-1 Cagliari
2024-11-09
Cagliari 3-3 AC Milan
2024-05-11
AC Milan 5-1 Cagliari
2024-01-02
AC Milan 4-1 Cagliari
AC Milan
18 days ago SA
Genoa - AC Milan 1-2 W
25 days ago SA
AC Milan - Atalanta 2-3 L
32 days ago SA
Sassuolo - AC Milan 2-0 L
39 days ago SA
AC Milan - Juventus 0-0 D
46 days ago SA
Hellas Verona - AC Milan 0-1 W
Cagliari
18 days ago SA
Cagliari - Torino 2-1 W
26 days ago SA
Cagliari - Udinese 0-2 L
32 days ago SA
Bologna - Cagliari 0-0 D
38 days ago SA
Cagliari - Atalanta 3-2 W
48 days ago SA
Inter - Cagliari 3-0 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-24T18:44:29.853364+00:00
AC Milan AC Milan - Cagliari Cagliari
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.69
Away xG
0.77
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
57.6%
Draw
26.8%
Away
15.6%

Top scoreline

1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.0%
Others
62.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
44.1%
Under 2.5
55.9%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
45.0%
BTTS: NO
55.0%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Medium
AC Milan AC Milan - Cagliari Cagliari

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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AC Milan AC Milan - Cagliari Cagliari

Community Outcome

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