UEFA Champions League - 1St Qualifying Round

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga

07/07/2026 16:00 UTC Scheduled
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia Home
vs
Riga Riga Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid
Match preview

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga preview

Public data

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga is a UEFA Champions League match scheduled for 2026-07-07 at 16:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Ararat-Armenia
Team details
Form 5
L L D D D
6 GF / 10 GA
Goal average
1.3 / 1.4
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.17
pre-match model estimate
Possession
55.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Passing accuracy 81.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W L L W D
8 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
1.2 / 1.7
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.98
pre-match model estimate
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 1
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Ararat-Armenia
Metric/Average
Riga
55.0%
Ball possession
-
81.0%
Passing accuracy
-
461.0
Total passes
-
5.0
Shots on target
-
16.0
Total shots
-
5.0
Shots off target
-
6.0
Blocked shots
-
5.0
Corners
-
11.0
Fouls
-
2.0
Offsides
-
2.0
Goalkeeper saves
-
Ararat-Armenia
W / D / L%
W 10.0%
D 60.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.0
GA 1.1
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
Riga
W / D / L%
W 20.0%
D 10.0%
L 70.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.1
GA 2.0
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
Insufficient data
Ararat-Armenia
320 days ago ECL
Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Praha 1-2 L
327 days ago ECL
Sparta Praha - Ararat-Armenia 4-1 L
334 days ago ECL
Universitatea Cluj - Ararat-Armenia 1-1 D
341 days ago ECL
Ararat-Armenia - Universitatea Cluj 0-0 D
684 days ago ECL
Puskas Academy - Ararat-Armenia 3-3 D
Riga
307 days ago ECL
Riga - Sparta Praha 1-0 W
313 days ago ECL
Sparta Praha - Riga 2-0 L
320 days ago ECL
Beitar Jerusalem - Riga 3-1 L
327 days ago ECL
Riga - Beitar Jerusalem 3-0 W
334 days ago ECL
Dila - Riga 3-3 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-28T16:00:33.067706+00:00
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia - Riga Riga
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.17
Away xG
0.98
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
Away
30.2%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
12.0%
Others
61.0%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
43.2%
BTTS: NO
56.8%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia - Riga Riga

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
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Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia - Riga Riga

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Ararat-Armenia vs Riga?

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga is scheduled for 2026-07-07 at 16:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Ararat-Armenia vs Riga?

The match is part of UEFA Champions League.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model slightly favor Ararat-Armenia?

The model gives Ararat-Armenia a pre-match xG of 1.17, compared with 0.98 for Riga. The edge is present, but limited.