Segunda División - Semi

Almeria vs Castellón

09/06/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Almeria Almeria Home
vs
Castellón Castellón Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home High
Match preview

Almeria vs Castellón preview

Public data

Almeria vs Castellón is a Segunda División match scheduled for 2026-06-09 at 19:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W L L D W
7 GF / 7 GA
Goal average
1.7 / 1.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.15
pre-match model estimate
Possession
53.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 84.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Castellón
Team details
Form 5
W W D D L
6 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
1.9 / 1.2
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 80.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.46
pre-match model estimate
Possession
56.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 82.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Almeria
Metric/Average
Castellón
53.8%
Ball possession
56.0%
84.0%
Passing accuracy
82.6%
423.6
Total passes
428.2
5.6
Shots on target
7.0
18.4
Total shots
19.6
8.2
Shots off target
6.4
4.6
Blocked shots
6.2
4.8
Corners
8.2
13.8
Fouls
13.2
1.8
Offsides
1.6
4.4
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
Almeria
W / D / L%
W 90.0%
D 0.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.8
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 90.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
Castellón
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 50.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.6
GA 1.5
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
2026-04-02
Castellón 2-0 Almeria
2025-10-26
Almeria 1-0 Castellón
2025-04-18
Castellón 4-1 Almeria
2024-09-16
Almeria 2-5 Castellón
2021-01-30
Almeria 3-1 Castellón
Almeria
4 days ago ES2
Almeria - Valladolid 1-0 W
11 days ago ES2
Sporting Gijon - Almeria 3-1 L
19 days ago ES2
Almeria - Las Palmas 1-2 L
26 days ago ES2
Burgos - Almeria 0-0 D
31 days ago ES2
Almeria - Mirandes 4-2 W
Castellón
4 days ago ES2
Castellón - Eibar 2-1 W
11 days ago ES2
Huesca - Castellón 0-1 W
20 days ago ES2
Castellón - Cadiz 1-1 D
26 days ago ES2
AD Ceuta FC - Castellón 1-1 D
33 days ago ES2
Castellón - Cordoba 1-2 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-04T00:27:26.151538+00:00
Almeria Almeria - Castellón Castellón
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.15
Away xG
1.46
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
51.1%
Draw
23.6%
Away
25.3%

Top scoreline

1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
7.9%
Others
73.8%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
68.8%
Under 2.5
31.2%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
68.4%
BTTS: NO
31.6%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Almeria Almeria - Castellón Castellón

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
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Almeria Almeria - Castellón Castellón

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Almeria vs Castellón?

Almeria vs Castellón is scheduled for 2026-06-09 at 19:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Almeria vs Castellón?

The match is part of Segunda División.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Almeria?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Almeria reaches 2.15 xG against Castellón's 1.46. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.