Eredivisie - Final

Ajax vs Utrecht

24/05/2026 10:15 UTC Scheduled
Ajax Ajax Home
vs
Utrecht Utrecht Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W D L D W
7 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
1.7 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.08
pre-match model estimate
Possession
53.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 84.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W W W L
9 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
2.0 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.14
pre-match model estimate
Possession
48.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 4 Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 83.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Ajax
Metric/Average
Utrecht
53.0%
Ball possession
48.2%
84.2%
Passing accuracy
83.0%
515.2
Total passes
416.8
5.4
Shots on target
6.6
14.2
Total shots
18.6
5.6
Shots off target
6.4
3.2
Blocked shots
5.6
4.4
Corners
5.6
9.6
Fouls
9.6
1.2
Offsides
1.5
2.6
Goalkeeper saves
3.0
Ajax
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.0
GA 1.2
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Utrecht
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 20.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.6
GA 1.9
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
2026-05-10
Ajax 1-2 Utrecht
2025-11-09
Utrecht 2-1 Ajax
2025-04-20
Utrecht 4-0 Ajax
2024-12-04
Ajax 2-2 Utrecht
2024-03-03
Ajax 2-0 Utrecht
Ajax
14 days ago DED
Ajax - Groningen 2-0 W
18 days ago DED
Heerenveen - Ajax 0-0 D
25 days ago DED
Ajax - Utrecht 1-2 L
33 days ago DED
Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 2-2 D
40 days ago DED
NAC Breda - Ajax 0-2 W
Utrecht
14 days ago DED
Utrecht - Heerenveen 3-2 W
18 days ago DED
Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 2-0 W
25 days ago DED
Ajax - Utrecht 1-2 W
33 days ago DED
Utrecht - NAC Breda 2-0 W
39 days ago DED
Excelsior - Utrecht 5-0 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-24T10:13:22.622599+00:00
Ajax Ajax - Utrecht Utrecht
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.08
Away xG
1.14
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
58.0%
Draw
22.7%
Away
19.3%

Top scoreline

1-1
10.5%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.8%
Others
70.8%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
60.4%
BTTS: NO
39.6%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Ajax Ajax - Utrecht Utrecht

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
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Ajax Ajax - Utrecht Utrecht

Community Outcome

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