Serie B - Final

Monza vs Catanzaro

29/05/2026 18:00 UTC Scheduled
Monza Monza Home
vs
Catanzaro Catanzaro Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W D D L
10 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
1.8 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
40.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.76
pre-match model estimate
Possession
48.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 79.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Catanzaro
Team details
Form 5
L L W W L
8 GF / 7 GA
Goal average
1.8 / 1.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.1
pre-match model estimate
Possession
55.2%
last 5
Passing accuracy 84.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Monza
Metric/Average
Catanzaro
48.0%
Ball possession
55.2%
79.2%
Passing accuracy
84.0%
413.2
Total passes
433.6
6.4
Shots on target
5.0
15.0
Total shots
13.0
6.4
Shots off target
5.6
2.2
Blocked shots
2.4
6.2
Corners
5.2
12.8
Fouls
13.6
1.8
Offsides
2.2
2.0
Goalkeeper saves
2.2
Monza
W / D / L%
W 80.0%
D 20.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.0
GA 0.6
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
Catanzaro
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.7
GA 1.7
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
2026-05-24
Catanzaro 0-2 Monza
2026-04-06
Catanzaro 1-1 Monza
2025-10-04
Monza 2-1 Catanzaro
Monza
11 days ago IT2
Catanzaro - Monza 0-2 W
16 days ago IT2
Monza - Juve Stabia 2-1 W
19 days ago IT2
Juve Stabia - Monza 2-2 D
27 days ago IT2
Monza - Empoli 2-2 D
34 days ago IT2
Mantova - Monza 3-2 L
Catanzaro
11 days ago IT2
Catanzaro - Monza 0-2 L
15 days ago IT2
Palermo - Catanzaro 2-0 L
18 days ago IT2
Catanzaro - Palermo 3-0 W
23 days ago IT2
Catanzaro - Avellino 3-0 W
27 days ago IT2
Catanzaro - Bari 2-3 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-29T17:59:32.300983+00:00
Monza Monza - Catanzaro Catanzaro
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.76
Away xG
1.1
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
48.4%
Draw
30.3%
Away
21.3%

Top scoreline

1-1
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
Others
68.0%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
57.5%
BTTS: NO
42.5%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Monza Monza - Catanzaro Catanzaro

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Monza Monza - Catanzaro Catanzaro

Community Outcome

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