Championship - Final

Hull City vs Middlesbrough

23/05/2026 14:30 UTC Scheduled
Hull City Hull City Home
vs
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Away Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Hull City
Team details
Form 5
W D W L D
7 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
1.3 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.27
pre-match model estimate
Possession
43.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 3 Passing accuracy 65.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Middlesbrough
Team details
Form 5
D D D W W
9 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
1.4 / 1.1
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.65
pre-match model estimate
Possession
54.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 6 Passing accuracy 84.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Hull City
Metric/Average
Middlesbrough
43.2%
Ball possession
54.6%
65.0%
Passing accuracy
84.4%
298.8
Total passes
516.6
4.4
Shots on target
5.2
11.0
Total shots
17.8
4.6
Shots off target
6.8
2.0
Blocked shots
5.8
5.6
Corners
6.8
9.2
Fouls
9.8
1.2
Offsides
1.5
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.6
Hull City
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.4
GA 1.8
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Middlesbrough
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 50.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.9
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
2025-12-29
Middlesbrough 0-1 Hull City
2025-12-05
Hull City 1-4 Middlesbrough
2025-01-01
Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
2024-11-30
Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
2024-04-10
Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Hull City
24 days ago ELC
Millwall - Hull City 0-2 W
27 days ago ELC
Hull City - Millwall 0-0 D
33 days ago ELC
Hull City - Norwich 2-1 W
40 days ago ELC
Charlton - Hull City 2-1 L
44 days ago ELC
Leicester - Hull City 2-2 D
Middlesbrough
23 days ago ELC
Southampton - Middlesbrough 1-1 D
26 days ago ELC
Middlesbrough - Southampton 0-0 D
33 days ago ELC
Wrexham - Middlesbrough 2-2 D
40 days ago ELC
Middlesbrough - Watford 5-1 W
43 days ago ELC
Middlesbrough - Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-23T14:28:36.469479+00:00
Hull City Hull City - Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.27
Away xG
1.65
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
29.4%
Draw
25.0%
Away
45.6%

Top scoreline

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
Others
70.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
58.2%
BTTS: NO
41.8%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Hull City Hull City - Middlesbrough Middlesbrough

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Hull City Hull City - Middlesbrough Middlesbrough

Community Outcome

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