Ligue 1 - Final

Saint Etienne vs Nice

26/05/2026 18:45 UTC Scheduled
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne Home
vs
Nice Nice Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Saint Etienne
Team details
Form 5
D W L L L
6 GF / 7 GA
Goal average
1.5 / 0.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.68
pre-match model estimate
Possession
60.0%
last 5
Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 84.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
L D L D D
4 GF / 7 GA
Goal average
0.8 / 1.5
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.01
pre-match model estimate
Possession
46.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Passing accuracy 81.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 8, previous seasons: 2).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Saint Etienne
Metric/Average
Nice
60.0%
Ball possession
46.4%
84.2%
Passing accuracy
81.2%
474.6
Total passes
397.2
4.4
Shots on target
4.0
13.0
Total shots
12.4
5.8
Shots off target
4.6
2.8
Blocked shots
3.8
6.6
Corners
5.2
13.0
Fouls
9.8
2.2
Offsides
1.6
2.0
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
Saint Etienne
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 10.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.7
GA 0.6
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 20.0%
Nice
W / D / L%
W 20.0%
D 30.0%
L 50.0%
GF / GA match
GF 0.8
GA 1.2
Over 2.5% 30.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
2025-12-21
Nice 2-1 Saint Etienne
2025-03-01
Saint Etienne 1-3 Nice
2024-09-20
Nice 8-0 Saint Etienne
2022-05-11
Nice 4-2 Saint Etienne
2021-09-25
Saint Etienne 0-3 Nice
Saint Etienne
20 days ago FL1
Saint Etienne - Rodez 0-0 D
26 days ago FR2
Saint Etienne - Amiens 5-0 W
33 days ago FR2
Rodez - Saint Etienne 2-1 L
40 days ago FR2
Saint Etienne - Estac Troyes 0-3 L
47 days ago FR2
Bastia - Saint Etienne 2-0 L
Nice
13 days ago CDF
Lens - Nice 3-1 L
18 days ago FL1
Nice - Metz 0-0 D
25 days ago FL1
Auxerre - Nice 2-1 L
33 days ago FL1
Nice - Lens 1-1 D
39 days ago FL1
Marseille - Nice 1-1 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-26T18:43:28.477212+00:00
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne - Nice Nice
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.68
Away xG
1.01
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
54.6%
Draw
22.5%
Away
22.9%

Top scoreline

1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.2%
Others
68.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
51.6%
Under 2.5
48.4%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
51.7%
BTTS: NO
48.3%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne - Nice Nice

Premium Outcome

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Saint Etienne Saint Etienne - Nice Nice

Community Outcome

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