Bundesliga - Final

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07

21/05/2026 18:30 UTC Scheduled
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg Home
vs
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
VfL Wolfsburg
Team details
Form 5
W L D D W
6 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
1.2 / 1.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
10.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.23
pre-match model estimate
Possession
42.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 75.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
SC Paderborn 07
Team details
Form 5
W D L L D
8 GF / 11 GA
Goal average
1.9 / 1.8
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 80.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.43
pre-match model estimate
Possession
47.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 78.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
VfL Wolfsburg
Metric/Average
SC Paderborn 07
42.8%
Ball possession
47.6%
75.2%
Passing accuracy
78.2%
371.2
Total passes
401.8
5.4
Shots on target
5.4
13.2
Total shots
13.4
4.8
Shots off target
5.0
3.0
Blocked shots
3.0
6.8
Corners
4.4
10.8
Fouls
12.6
1.2
Offsides
1.5
3.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.6
VfL Wolfsburg
W / D / L%
W 10.0%
D 20.0%
L 70.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.1
GA 1.7
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
SC Paderborn 07
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.5
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
2020-02-02
SC Paderborn 07 2-4 VfL Wolfsburg
2019-08-31
VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SC Paderborn 07
2015-05-10
SC Paderborn 07 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg
2014-12-14
VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
19 days ago BL1
FC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 W
26 days ago BL1
VfL Wolfsburg - Bayern München 0-1 L
32 days ago BL1
SC Freiburg - VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 D
40 days ago BL1
VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 D
47 days ago BL1
Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 W
SC Paderborn 07
18 days ago DE2
SV Darmstadt 98 - SC Paderborn 07 0-2 W
27 days ago DE2
SC Paderborn 07 - Karlsruher SC 2-2 D
32 days ago DE2
SV Elversberg - SC Paderborn 07 5-1 L
39 days ago DE2
SC Paderborn 07 - FC Schalke 04 2-3 L
47 days ago DE2
Hannover 96 - SC Paderborn 07 1-1 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-21T18:29:29.799234+00:00
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg - SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.23
Away xG
1.43
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
30.8%
Draw
28.6%
Away
40.6%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
Others
68.7%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
55.5%
BTTS: NO
44.5%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg - SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg - SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07

Community Outcome

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