Eredivisie - Semi

Ajax vs Groningen

21/05/2026 16:45 UTC Scheduled
Ajax Ajax Home
vs
Groningen Groningen Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
D L D W W
8 GF / 4 GA
Goal average
1.5 / 1.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.1
pre-match model estimate
Possession
52.6%
last 5
Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 85.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Groningen
Team details
Form 5
W W L L D
7 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
1.8 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.99
pre-match model estimate
Possession
51.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 4 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 78.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Ajax
Metric/Average
Groningen
52.6%
Ball possession
51.8%
85.2%
Passing accuracy
78.2%
502.8
Total passes
421.0
5.6
Shots on target
4.8
15.4
Total shots
14.6
6.2
Shots off target
5.8
3.6
Blocked shots
4.0
4.6
Corners
5.2
7.8
Fouls
9.2
0.8
Offsides
2.4
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.0
Ajax
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.0
GA 1.2
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Groningen
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 20.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.4
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
2026-03-07
Groningen 3-1 Ajax
2025-12-02
Ajax 2-0 Groningen
2025-05-14
Groningen 2-2 Ajax
2024-10-06
Ajax 3-1 Groningen
2023-05-16
Groningen 2-3 Ajax
Ajax
18 days ago DED
Heerenveen - Ajax 0-0 D
25 days ago DED
Ajax - Utrecht 1-2 L
33 days ago DED
Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 2-2 D
40 days ago DED
NAC Breda - Ajax 0-2 W
54 days ago DED
Heracles - Ajax 0-3 W
Groningen
18 days ago DED
Heracles - Groningen 1-2 W
25 days ago DED
Groningen - NEC Nijmegen 2-1 W
33 days ago DED
Groningen - Excelsior 2-3 L
40 days ago DED
Feyenoord - Groningen 3-1 L
54 days ago DED
Groningen - GO Ahead Eagles 0-0 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-21T16:43:22.266284+00:00
Ajax Ajax - Groningen Groningen
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.1
Away xG
0.99
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
61.9%
Draw
22.1%
Away
16.0%

Top scoreline

1-1
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.1%
Others
69.4%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
59.6%
Under 2.5
40.4%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
56.1%
BTTS: NO
43.9%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Ajax Ajax - Groningen Groningen

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
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Ajax Ajax - Groningen Groningen

Community Outcome

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