UEFA Europa Conference League - Final

Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano

27/05/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace Home
vs
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Crystal Palace
Team details
Form 5
L D L D W
7 GF / 10 GA
Goal average
1.2 / 1.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
90.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
10.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.17
pre-match model estimate
Possession
40.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Passing accuracy 76.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Rayo Vallecano
Team details
Form 5
W W D D W
7 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
1.5 / 0.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
30.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.21
pre-match model estimate
Possession
52.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 9 Passing accuracy 82.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Crystal Palace
Metric/Average
Rayo Vallecano
40.4%
Ball possession
52.4%
76.8%
Passing accuracy
82.2%
338.4
Total passes
437.4
4.6
Shots on target
6.0
12.4
Total shots
15.2
4.4
Shots off target
5.6
3.4
Blocked shots
3.6
3.4
Corners
4.4
6.8
Fouls
15.0
1.6
Offsides
1.6
3.4
Goalkeeper saves
4.0
Crystal Palace
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 40.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.3
GA 0.6
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 40.0%
Rayo Vallecano
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.2
GA 1.2
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
Insufficient data
Crystal Palace
11 days ago PL
Crystal Palace - Arsenal 1-2 L
18 days ago PL
Brentford - Crystal Palace 2-2 D
22 days ago PL
Manchester City - Crystal Palace 3-0 L
25 days ago PL
Crystal Palace - Everton 2-2 D
28 days ago ECL
Crystal Palace - Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 W
Rayo Vallecano
12 days ago PD
Alaves - Rayo Vallecano 1-2 W
18 days ago PD
Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 2-0 W
21 days ago PD
Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
24 days ago PD
Rayo Vallecano - Girona 1-1 D
28 days ago ECL
Strasbourg - Rayo Vallecano 0-1 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-27T18:58:18.946733+00:00
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.17
Away xG
1.21
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
34.9%
Draw
28.4%
Away
36.7%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
Others
65.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
42.4%
Under 2.5
57.6%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
48.6%
BTTS: NO
51.4%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Crystal Palace Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano

Community Outcome

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