UEFA Champions League - Final

Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

30/05/2026 16:00 UTC Scheduled
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain Home
vs
Arsenal Arsenal Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Paris Saint Germain
Team details
Form 5
L W W D D
7 GF / 5 GA
Goal average
2.1 / 1.1
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.57
pre-match model estimate
Possession
58.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Passing accuracy 85.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W W W W
8 GF / 1 GA
Goal average
1.2 / 0.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
60.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.33
pre-match model estimate
Possession
58.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 8 Unbeaten streak 7 Passing accuracy 86.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 3, previous seasons: 7).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Paris Saint Germain
Metric/Average
Arsenal
58.8%
Ball possession
58.2%
85.4%
Passing accuracy
86.6%
601.8
Total passes
497.4
4.8
Shots on target
5.0
16.2
Total shots
15.2
5.2
Shots off target
6.6
6.2
Blocked shots
3.6
7.8
Corners
3.6
7.6
Fouls
9.6
1.4
Offsides
2.2
4.6
Goalkeeper saves
1.6
Paris Saint Germain
W / D / L%
W 60.0%
D 20.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.5
GA 1.6
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Arsenal
W / D / L%
W 60.0%
D 20.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.5
GA 0.9
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
2025-05-07
Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Arsenal
2025-04-29
Arsenal 0-1 Paris Saint Germain
2024-10-01
Arsenal 2-0 Paris Saint Germain
2016-11-23
Arsenal 2-2 Paris Saint Germain
2016-09-13
Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
18 days ago FL1
Paris FC - Paris Saint Germain 2-1 L
22 days ago FL1
Lens - Paris Saint Germain 0-2 W
25 days ago FL1
Paris Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29 1-0 W
29 days ago CL
Bayern München - Paris Saint Germain 1-1 D
33 days ago FL1
Paris Saint Germain - Lorient 2-2 D
Arsenal
11 days ago PL
Crystal Palace - Arsenal 1-2 W
17 days ago PL
Arsenal - Burnley 1-0 W
25 days ago PL
West Ham - Arsenal 0-1 W
30 days ago CL
Arsenal - Atletico Madrid 1-0 W
33 days ago PL
Arsenal - Fulham 3-0 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-30T15:59:22.449622+00:00
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal Arsenal
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.57
Away xG
1.33
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
42.8%
Draw
25.1%
Away
32.1%

Top scoreline

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
Others
70.7%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
58.3%
BTTS: NO
41.7%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal Arsenal

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal Arsenal

Community Outcome

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