DFB Pokal - Final

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

23/05/2026 18:00 UTC Scheduled
Bayern München Bayern München Home
vs
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? Medium Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home High

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Bayern München
Team details
Form 5
W W D D L
14 GF / 10 GA
Goal average
3.3 / 1.8
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
4.99
pre-match model estimate
Possession
67.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 88.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
VfB Stuttgart
Team details
Form 5
D W D D D
10 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
2.1 / 1.8
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
10.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.91
pre-match model estimate
Possession
56.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 7 Unbeaten streak 5 Passing accuracy 82.4%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Bayern München
Metric/Average
VfB Stuttgart
67.2%
Ball possession
56.0%
88.0%
Passing accuracy
82.4%
649.4
Total passes
503.2
7.4
Shots on target
6.4
17.2
Total shots
18.6
5.6
Shots off target
7.2
4.2
Blocked shots
5.0
5.4
Corners
8.0
7.6
Fouls
12.4
2.6
Offsides
2.0
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
4.0
Bayern München
W / D / L%
W 80.0%
D 20.0%
L 0.0%
GF / GA match
GF 3.4
GA 1.4
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
VfB Stuttgart
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 40.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.5
GA 2.1
Over 2.5% 90.0%
BTTS% 80.0%
2026-04-19
Bayern München 4-2 VfB Stuttgart
2025-12-06
VfB Stuttgart 0-5 Bayern München
2025-02-28
VfB Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern München
2024-10-19
Bayern München 4-0 VfB Stuttgart
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern München
Bayern München
19 days ago BL1
Bayern München - 1. FC Köln 5-1 W
26 days ago BL1
VfL Wolfsburg - Bayern München 0-1 W
29 days ago CL
Bayern München - Paris Saint Germain 1-1 D
33 days ago BL1
Bayern München - 1. FC Heidenheim 3-3 D
37 days ago CL
Paris Saint Germain - Bayern München 5-4 L
VfB Stuttgart
19 days ago BL1
Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart 2-2 D
26 days ago BL1
VfB Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 W
33 days ago BL1
1899 Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart 3-3 D
39 days ago BL1
VfB Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1-1 D
42 days ago DFP
VfB Stuttgart - SC Freiburg 1-1 D

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-23T17:59:33.509101+00:00
Bayern München Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
4.99
Away xG
0.91
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
92.2%
Draw
5.2%
Away
2.6%

Top scoreline

4-0
9.2%
5-0
9.2%
4-1
8.4%
Others
73.1%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
91.3%
Under 2.5
8.7%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
59.4%
BTTS: NO
40.6%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O High
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Bayern München Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Bayern München Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart

Community Outcome

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