World Cup - Group stage - Group Stage

Netherlands vs Sweden

20/06/2026 17:00 UTC Scheduled
Netherlands Netherlands Home
vs
Sweden Sweden Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Home High

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Netherlands
Team details
Form 5
D W D W W
15 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
3.1 / 0.8
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.19
pre-match model estimate
Possession
64.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 90.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W W D L
13 GF / 9 GA
Goal average
2.1 / 1.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
10.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.63
pre-match model estimate
Possession
43.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 5 Unbeaten streak 4 Passing accuracy 80.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 1, previous seasons: 9).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Netherlands
Metric/Average
Sweden
64.2%
Ball possession
43.2%
90.0%
Passing accuracy
80.2%
579.0
Total passes
375.6
6.2
Shots on target
4.2
15.4
Total shots
9.8
5.4
Shots off target
3.4
3.8
Blocked shots
2.2
6.2
Corners
3.6
9.0
Fouls
11.8
1.4
Offsides
1.4
1.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
Netherlands
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 40.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 3.3
GA 1.1
Over 2.5% 90.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
Sweden
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.0
GA 1.6
Over 2.5% 80.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
2017-10-10
Netherlands 2-0 Sweden
2016-09-06
Sweden 1-1 Netherlands
Netherlands
7 days ago WC
Netherlands - Japan 2-2 D
216 days ago WCQE
Netherlands - Lithuania 4-0 W
219 days ago WCQE
Poland - Netherlands 1-1 D
252 days ago WCQE
Netherlands - Finland 4-0 W
255 days ago WCQE
Malta - Netherlands 0-4 W
Sweden
6 days ago WC
Sweden - Tunisia 5-1 W
82 days ago WCQE
Sweden - Poland 3-2 W
87 days ago WCQE
Ukraine - Sweden 1-3 W
215 days ago WCQE
Sweden - Slovenia 1-1 D
218 days ago WCQE
Switzerland - Sweden 4-1 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-20T16:58:19.543753+00:00
Netherlands Netherlands - Sweden Sweden
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.19
Away xG
1.63
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
50.3%
Draw
21.0%
Away
28.7%

Top scoreline

2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
Others
76.2%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
73.2%
Under 2.5
26.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
71.4%
BTTS: NO
28.6%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Netherlands Netherlands - Sweden Sweden

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
This section is available to premium users only.
Log in
Netherlands Netherlands - Sweden Sweden

Community Outcome

Log in to view the community outcome.
Log in