La Liga - Regular season

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

23/05/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Alaves Alaves Home
vs
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Equilibrium Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W D L W
7 GF / 6 GA
Goal average
1.8 / 1.7
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 80.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.15
pre-match model estimate
Possession
37.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 3 Passing accuracy 73.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Rayo Vallecano
Team details
Form 5
W D D W W
7 GF / 2 GA
Goal average
1.3 / 1.1
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
30.0% / 40.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
50.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.06
pre-match model estimate
Possession
50.8%
last 5
Scoring streak 9 Unbeaten streak 8 Passing accuracy 79.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 7, previous seasons: 3).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Alaves
Metric/Average
Rayo Vallecano
37.6%
Ball possession
50.8%
73.6%
Passing accuracy
79.0%
298.2
Total passes
410.8
3.2
Shots on target
5.8
10.0
Total shots
14.2
3.4
Shots off target
5.0
3.4
Blocked shots
3.4
4.8
Corners
3.6
13.6
Fouls
16.6
2.8
Offsides
1.4
1.2
Goalkeeper saves
2.6
Alaves
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 30.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.6
GA 1.6
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Rayo Vallecano
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.1
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 40.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
2026-01-14
Alaves 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
2025-10-26
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves
2025-03-29
Alaves 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
2024-10-26
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves
2024-03-10
Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
18 days ago PD
Oviedo - Alaves 0-1 W
22 days ago PD
Alaves - Barcelona 1-0 W
26 days ago PD
Elche - Alaves 1-1 D
33 days ago PD
Alaves - Athletic Club 2-4 L
40 days ago PD
Alaves - Mallorca 2-1 W
Rayo Vallecano
18 days ago PD
Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 2-0 W
21 days ago PD
Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
24 days ago PD
Rayo Vallecano - Girona 1-1 D
28 days ago ECL
Strasbourg - Rayo Vallecano 0-1 W
32 days ago PD
Getafe - Rayo Vallecano 0-2 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-23T18:58:44.678628+00:00
Alaves Alaves - Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.15
Away xG
1.06
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
38.0%
Draw
28.6%
Away
33.5%

Top scoreline

1-1
13.1%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
12.1%
Others
61.8%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
44.3%
BTTS: NO
55.7%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Low
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Medium
Alaves Alaves - Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Alaves Alaves - Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano

Community Outcome

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