La Liga - Regular season

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club

23/05/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Real Madrid Real Madrid Home
vs
Athletic Club Athletic Club Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Real Madrid
Team details
Form 5
W W L W D
6 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
1.4 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
40.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
2.14
pre-match model estimate
Possession
56.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 89.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 8, previous seasons: 2).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Athletic Club
Team details
Form 5
D L L W L
7 GF / 9 GA
Goal average
1.1 / 1.7
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 50.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
10.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.94
pre-match model estimate
Possession
49.2%
last 5
Scoring streak 1 Unbeaten streak 1 Passing accuracy 78.8%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Real Madrid
Metric/Average
Athletic Club
56.4%
Ball possession
49.2%
89.0%
Passing accuracy
78.8%
542.2
Total passes
415.0
4.4
Shots on target
5.0
13.2
Total shots
14.6
5.2
Shots off target
6.6
3.6
Blocked shots
3.0
5.6
Corners
7.6
10.4
Fouls
12.4
2.2
Offsides
1.2
3.6
Goalkeeper saves
2.0
Real Madrid
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 10.0%
L 20.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.2
GA 1.0
Over 2.5% 70.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Athletic Club
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 10.0%
L 60.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.2
GA 1.8
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 60.0%
2025-12-03
Athletic Club 0-3 Real Madrid
2025-04-20
Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Club
2024-12-04
Athletic Club 2-1 Real Madrid
2024-03-31
Real Madrid 2-0 Athletic Club
2023-08-12
Athletic Club 0-2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid
18 days ago PD
Sevilla - Real Madrid 0-1 W
21 days ago PD
Real Madrid - Oviedo 2-0 W
25 days ago PD
Barcelona - Real Madrid 2-0 L
32 days ago PD
Espanyol - Real Madrid 0-2 W
41 days ago PD
Real Betis - Real Madrid 1-1 D
Athletic Club
18 days ago PD
Athletic Club - Celta Vigo 1-1 D
22 days ago PD
Espanyol - Athletic Club 2-0 L
25 days ago PD
Athletic Club - Valencia 0-1 L
33 days ago PD
Alaves - Athletic Club 2-4 W
40 days ago PD
Atletico Madrid - Athletic Club 3-2 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-23T18:58:44.862752+00:00
Real Madrid Real Madrid - Athletic Club Athletic Club
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
2.14
Away xG
0.94
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
64.7%
Draw
19.5%
Away
15.8%

Top scoreline

2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
Others
69.3%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
53.3%
BTTS: NO
46.7%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 High
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Low
Real Madrid Real Madrid - Athletic Club Athletic Club

Premium Outcome

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Real Madrid Real Madrid - Athletic Club Athletic Club

Community Outcome

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