La Liga - Regular season

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid

24/05/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Villarreal Villarreal Home
vs
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Home Mid

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Villarreal
Team details
Form 5
L L D W W
10 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
1.7 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 80.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
0.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.8
pre-match model estimate
Possession
50.8%
last 5
Passing accuracy 86.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Atletico Madrid
Team details
Form 5
W W L L W
5 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
1.4 / 1.3
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 60.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.5
pre-match model estimate
Possession
47.6%
last 5
Scoring streak 2 Unbeaten streak 2 Passing accuracy 84.0%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 6, previous seasons: 4).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Villarreal
Metric/Average
Atletico Madrid
50.8%
Ball possession
47.6%
86.6%
Passing accuracy
84.0%
470.4
Total passes
430.0
4.0
Shots on target
3.8
11.4
Total shots
14.2
4.2
Shots off target
7.2
3.2
Blocked shots
3.2
6.6
Corners
6.4
12.2
Fouls
11.0
0.8
Offsides
2.4
3.6
Goalkeeper saves
3.2
Villarreal
W / D / L%
W 70.0%
D 0.0%
L 30.0%
GF / GA match
GF 2.4
GA 1.4
Over 2.5% 90.0%
BTTS% 90.0%
Atletico Madrid
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 0.0%
L 60.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.4
GA 1.6
Over 2.5% 60.0%
BTTS% 50.0%
2025-09-13
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Villarreal
2025-01-25
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Villarreal
2024-08-19
Villarreal 2-2 Atletico Madrid
2024-04-01
Villarreal 1-2 Atletico Madrid
2023-11-12
Atletico Madrid 3-1 Villarreal
Villarreal
18 days ago PD
Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 2-0 L
22 days ago PD
Villarreal - Sevilla 2-3 L
25 days ago PD
Mallorca - Villarreal 1-1 D
33 days ago PD
Villarreal - Levante 5-1 W
39 days ago PD
Villarreal - Celta Vigo 2-1 W
Atletico Madrid
18 days ago PD
Atletico Madrid - Girona 1-0 W
23 days ago PD
Osasuna - Atletico Madrid 1-2 W
26 days ago PD
Atletico Madrid - Celta Vigo 0-1 L
30 days ago CL
Arsenal - Atletico Madrid 1-0 L
33 days ago PD
Valencia - Atletico Madrid 0-2 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-05-24T18:58:34.931433+00:00
Villarreal Villarreal - Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.8
Away xG
1.5
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
44.9%
Draw
22.5%
Away
32.6%

Top scoreline

1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
Others
73.8%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
63.9%
Under 2.5
36.1%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
64.6%
BTTS: NO
35.4%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Villarreal Villarreal - Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
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Villarreal Villarreal - Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid

Community Outcome

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